city bus arrival time prediction based on similarity of road conditions

ISCAS OpenIR

	city bus arrival time prediction based on similarity of road conditions
	Sun Yu-Yan; Liu Yan; Zhou Xin-Yun; Sun Li-Min
	2012
发表期刊	Ruan Jian Xue Bao/Journal of Software
ISSN	1000-9825
卷号	23 期号:SUPPL.页码:87-99
摘要	Currently, bus arrival time prediction studies have not yielded the best results under complex road conditions. A bus arrival time prediction mechanism based on the similarity of road conditions is proposed in this paper. By analyzing the past trip records of the bus, the historical traffic condition of each road section was estimated. The road condition for each trip records was extracted. In the operational phase, each road section's traffic condition was estimated by gathering bus locations continually. The mechanism predicted bus arrival time for the rest bus station by the most similar historical which was searched by the time, distance, and real-time road conditions. The evaluation result using historical data of real bus trips shows that the arrival time prediction of the mechanism is accurate-with an absolute percentage error around 5%.; Currently, bus arrival time prediction studies have not yielded the best results under complex road conditions. A bus arrival time prediction mechanism based on the similarity of road conditions is proposed in this paper. By analyzing the past trip records of the bus, the historical traffic condition of each road section was estimated. The road condition for each trip records was extracted. In the operational phase, each road section's traffic condition was estimated by gathering bus locations continually. The mechanism predicted bus arrival time for the rest bus station by the most similar historical which was searched by the time, distance, and real-time road conditions. The evaluation result using historical data of real bus trips shows that the arrival time prediction of the mechanism is accurate-with an absolute percentage error around 5%.
收录类别	EI
关键词	Buses Forecasting Roads And Streets
部门归属	(1) Institute of Information Engineering The Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100093 China; (2) Graduate University The Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100049 China; (3) State Key Laboratory of Information Security Institute of Information Engineering The Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100093 China; (4) School of Software and Microelectronics Peking University Beijing 102600 China
语种	中文
内容类型	期刊论文
URI标识	http://ir.iscas.ac.cn/handle/311060/15417
专题	中国科学院软件研究所
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Sun Yu-Yan,Liu Yan,Zhou Xin-Yun,et al. city bus arrival time prediction based on similarity of road conditions[J]. Ruan Jian Xue Bao/Journal of Software,2012,23(SUPPL.):87-99.
APA	Sun Yu-Yan,Liu Yan,Zhou Xin-Yun,&Sun Li-Min.(2012).city bus arrival time prediction based on similarity of road conditions.Ruan Jian Xue Bao/Journal of Software,23(SUPPL.),87-99.
MLA	Sun Yu-Yan,et al."city bus arrival time prediction based on similarity of road conditions".Ruan Jian Xue Bao/Journal of Software 23.SUPPL.(2012):87-99.